Not only is AI smarter than us in most ways, but it is so much smarter than us that we struggle to use it well.
Terence Tao, one of the world’s best mathematicians, calls o1-preview a “mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student.” Others have shown that it can complete all the reasoning of an entire graduate thesis in less than two minutes. But if you’re like me, you don’t have many problems that need a graduate student to solve. Making a future o2 model as smart as a post-doc isn’t going to make me use it any more often. I’m not smart enough to need it in my life.
o1 is also very close to being able to solve any problem that any human can. The Center for AI Safety is paying $5,000 for questions that today’s AI can’t solve. I’m confident these last problems will be stamped out next generation. And still, I’m betting you don’t have a use for this AI in your life. It’s harder than it sounds! The next hard problem in Artificial Intelligence isn’t training a larger model, but training ourselves.
A big part of how I spent my summer was wallowing in AI. The technology, the commentators, the jokers on Twitter, the arXiv papers, and I even built a few OSS apps myself. I’m confident that we’re only going to reach the combined potential of humans and AI if we train ourselves to work better with the AI. Specifically, we have to start doing two things:
First, you must subscribe to a frontier model immediately. The free models are not good enough. I recommend Copilot Pro, but ChatGPT or Claude will work too. $20/month will be the best value of your life – once you start using it well! Next, you have to use the model for about 10 hours. There’s no shortcut here; trying it for a few things for 2 hours won’t cut it. You need to get past those failures before you can move on.
AI can only do two things: give us words or interact with computers. But that’s quite a lot! Let me give you some ideas on how to spend your 10 hours.
With this foundation, it’s time to level up and let AI assist you to do anything.
Although AI can’t change your tire, there is unparalleled value in giving you words and writing software. Most change in the world happens through words. And most of the market cap of the United States’ businesses is through electronic services, not physical labor (even physical labor is often coordinated through software). So now that you’re proficient at using AI, how do you want to use it?
Any way you want, of course! To get you started, let me give you some ideas of what you’re capable of:
If you’re doing it on a computer or you’re doing it through words, AI can probably help. Once you master using AI frequently to improve or accelerate what you were going to do anyway, you can begin to take on entirely new tasks you couldn’t do before:
With some effort, you’ll begin to constantly see AI enabling solutions for tasks that never occurred to you as solvable before. But AI isn’t stopping there…
If o1-preview is a “mediocre graduate student,” what will o2 be capable of? I do not know, but I do know that we’ll have to level up again. If you master the approaches described in this post, you’ll be able to take it on. It’s amazing to think what problems we will be able to solve with future AI assistance if we put in the time to train ourselves now.
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